We’re midway through the 2020 NFL season. Do you know where your favorite team’s playoff chances stand? For some, it’s straight forward. The Steelers? Yeah, you’re going dancing. The Jets? Better luck next year. But for the folks in the middle, the future might be murkier.

ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) is here to help. Using FPI’s 20,000 day-to-day simulations, we can lock in specific results to get a much better sense of what playoff hopes look like for each team and see what games those hopes actually hinge on. That’s what we’re doing today: playing the scenario video game with a few of those whose course to the postseason exists however is far from ensured. Let’s take a look at key matchups on the slate and how they may play a part of which groups head to the playoffs.

Keep in mind: The following forecasts assume the present playoff format remains intact and do not consider the possibility of an expanded playoff in the occasion the regular season can not be completed.