Is Tencent Stock a Buy?|The Motley Fool
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Tencent (OTC: TCEH.Y) is one of the largest tech business in China. It owns WeChat, the country’s leading messaging app; the world’s largest video game publishing organisation; China’s second-largest cloud platform; among the nation’s biggest video streaming platforms; and one of its leading digital payment platforms.
Tencent’s stock has rallied more than 1,400% over the past decade as its video gaming and advertising companies broadened and it entered brand-new markets. Is it lastly time to take revenues, or does the Chinese tech giant still have space to run?
Tencent’s marketing business, which produced 19% of its revenue last quarter, offers ads throughout WeChat, the older QQ messaging platform, its mobile advertisement network, Tencent Video, and other apps. The sector’s profits increased 32% annually during the quarter as e-commerce, online education, and gaming companies bought more ads throughout the COVID-19 crisis.
Nevertheless, Tencent’s advertisement company faces intense competition from Alibaba’s (NYSE: BABA) paid item listings, online search platforms like Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU), and Gen Z-oriented platforms like ByteDance, which owns the viral brief video app TikTok (referred to as Douyin in China).
WeChat’s ecosystem of Mini Programs, which locks users into the app, also deals with competition from similar walled gardens like Baidu’s mobile app, Alibaba-backed AliPay, and Douyin’s tiny programs. WeChat’s messaging service, which serves over 1.2 billion month-to-month active users, likewise deals with competition from dating apps like Momo and Tantan.
To shore up its defenses versus these competitors, Tencent requires to keep releasing new apps– which will trigger its operating costs to rise.
Tencent’s gaming company, which produced 35% of its profits last quarter, is still locking in players with hit video games like Honor of Kings, Peacekeeper Elite, PUBG Mobile, and League of Legends. Its earnings grew 31% each year throughout the quarter as people played more games throughout the lockdown duration.
Looking ahead, investors ought to anticipate Tencent’s gaming system to rely more heavily on overseas titles like Call of Responsibility Mobile, as well as increased financial investments in abroad designers and publishers.
Tencent’s fintech and business services system, which accounted for 24% of its leading line last quarter, produces the majority of its revenue from Tencent Cloud, China’s second-largest cloud facilities platform after Alibaba Cloud, and WeChat Pay, which shares a near-duopoly in the payments market with Alibaba-backed AliPay.
Income from this more recent service increased 22% each year last quarter, but that marked a considerable downturn from its previous quarters. Tencent attributed the deceleration to fewer WeChat payments throughout the lockdowns, however it anticipates the business to recover later on this year.
Tencent does not disclose its cloud revenues, however it’s most likely unprofitable like Alibaba Cloud. Both companies will likely sustain more losses in their cloud businesses, and use other successful organisations– like Tencent’s advertisement and video gaming units, and Alibaba’s core commerce system– to subsidize the difference.
For that reason, the development of the fintech and organisation services system is a double-edged sword: It generates fresh income development and diversifies Tencent’s leading line far from games and advertisements, however it will likely throttle its adjusted operating margin– which declined annually from 43% to 34% last quarter.
Experts expect Tencent’s revenue and incomes to rise 22% and 17%, respectively, this year, as its strengths offset its weaknesses. That’s a strong growth rate for a stock that trades at about 33 times forward profits.
I own shares of Tencent, and I think it’s still one of the very best long-lasting plays on China’s growth. Tencent is likewise much better varied than Alibaba and Baidu, which still rely greatly on e-commerce sales and online advertisements, respectively.
The only near-term threat to Tencent is the legal hazard to potentially delist Chinese stocks from U.S. exchanges if they do not follow specific accounting guidelines. However top tech business like Tencent, Alibaba, and Baidu will most likely reach a compromise with U.S. regulators instead of staging a complete retreat to closer exchanges like Hong Kong. For that reason, Tencent remains a solid long-term investment, and it has room to follow its 30% rally over the previous 12 months.